Elite chess explained, move by move
Dates
28 Mar — 16 Apr 2026
Location
Paphos, CY
Field
8 players
Format
Double round-robin
Time control
Classical
Rounds
14 · 14 played
Decisive
32%
Avg. rating
2749

Round 5 · 3 Apr 2026

CaruanaBluebaum

The Matchup

White
🇺🇸USA
3rd · 7.5

Fabiano Caruana

2.5 behind leader

Last 5 games½½½W
Elo2795

A principled calculator with world-championship match experience, known for deep opening preparation and clean technical pressure.

Games in this event →
1–0White wins
Black
🇩🇪GER
6th · 6.0

Matthias Bluebaum

4 behind leader

Last 5 games½½½L
Elo2698

Germany's leading grandmaster, known for disciplined classical technique, subtle maneuvering, and patient endgame grinding.

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Scroll to see the game

Key Moments


Petrov's Defense: Paulsen Attack
BlackBluebaumGER2698
WhiteCaruanaUSA2795
B
M+11W

Classical factors on this position

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Checks, captures, and threats for the side to move

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The Moves

Other lines considered

From the crossroads before this move — engine and player perspectives.

Tempting traps

Rxa2a4a2
+5.7238%

MAIA 2200

PLAYER LIKELIHOOD38% would play this move

The Maia model estimates how often 2200-rated players choose this move from this position.

Attacking
Defending
Threatening
Board structure
Be5 is active
Nxf6+!Critical

Loses the b on e5

1 checking resourceWorse pawn structure for Black
Rxc4a4c4
+6.6611%

MAIA 2200

PLAYER LIKELIHOOD11% would play this move

The Maia model estimates how often 2200-rated players choose this move from this position.

Attacking
Threatening
Board structure
Better outposts for BlackBe5 is active
Nxf6+!Critical

Complex tradeoff

Black gets the main benefit, but black creates more concrete threats.

Engine & players agree

Playable moves worth considering here.

Bxc3e5c3
na41%

MAIA 2200

PLAYER LIKELIHOOD41% would play this move

The Maia model estimates how often 2200-rated players choose this move from this position.

Attacking
Threatening

Hard to spot

Be6c8e6
+4.830%

MAIA 2200

PLAYER LIKELIHOOD0% would play this move

The Maia model estimates how often 2200-rated players choose this move from this position.

Defending
Threatening
Board structure
Be5 is active
fxe6!Critical

Loses the b on e5

Bxf5+c8f5
+5.130%

MAIA 2200

PLAYER LIKELIHOOD0% would play this move

The Maia model estimates how often 2200-rated players choose this move from this position.

Attacking
Threatening
Board structure
Bf5 is active (king-zone pressure)
gxf5!Critical

Loses the b on e5

Black gets the main benefit, but black creates more concrete threats.